Why
is Brazilian Cerrado Land So Cheap?
Brazil's cerrado land is, without doubt, the
cheapest highly productive agricultural land in the Western Hemisphere,
and perhaps the world. By any measure, productive cerrado land is
extremely inexpensive relative to good agricultural land anywhere
in the Western World.
Why? A major reason is simple supply and demand. There is
a staggering amount of land in Brazil's frontier and not enough
Brazilian capital to buy and develop it. International investors
could provide the needed capital, but there has been a void of reliable
information on frontier investment opportunities. A key objective
of AgBrazil is to fill this information void.
The vastness of the cerrados is awesome. The area of unopened Brazilian
cerrado land believed suitable for dryland and irrigated agriculture
is estimated to be greater than all of the land area of Western
Europe or the US land area under agricultural cultivation.
There is another reason why cerrado land sells for significantly
less than US or Western European farmland producing an equal or
even lower net return. Brazilian farmers and investors demand a
high return on their investment. There are no government subsidy
programs, interest rates are high, credit is limited or unavailable
and a long history of high inflation makes investors wary of government
monetary and fiscal policy. Inflation has been under control since
1994, but production investments that do not have the potential
to return at least 20 percent per year are rejected out-of-hand
by Brazilian farmers. Return on land investment on farms operating
for 20 years or more is now virtually infinite given that the land
was originally purchased for a few dollars per hectare.
Today, cerrado dryland farmers expect to pay off their land investments
in about five years. Farmers investing in pivot irrigation systems
expect to pay off their total investment, including land costs,
in three to four years. These expectations have been met when management
is capable and technology is state of the art.
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